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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.80+1.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.78vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.65vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Cornell University2.3852.6%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University0.8010.3%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.296.9%1st Place
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3.22University of Pennsylvania1.1613.9%1st Place
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3.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9213.1%1st Place
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5.05SUNY Maritime College-0.523.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 52.6% | 27.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Keller | 10.3% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 21.9% | 10.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.9% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 25.6% | 18.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 13.9% | 20.4% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 6.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 13.1% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 8.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.