← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.48+6.30vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.45+5.49vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+7.56vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29+4.28vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.39vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.27vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.33+1.12vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.18+0.50vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.93+0.96vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.27-1.85vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.49vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.80-1.78vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-5.57vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.56vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.48-7.53vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.81-5.69vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.73-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.3Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.49Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.56U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
8.12Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.5Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.96University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.15Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.51University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.22University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
13.44University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
-
7.47Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.31Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.61Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Emily Billing | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Christina Johns | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 36.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.