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📊 Prediction Accuracy
86.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+1.37vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.85+1.10vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.75+0.29vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.57+1.48vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-1.17+3.94vs Predicted
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6Tulane University-0.14+0.89vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.51-1.42vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.08-3.46vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas-0.49-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.61-0.18vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-2.85+0.98vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.98-1.48vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University-3.67+0.24vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-3.50-1.09vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University-4.15-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Tulane University2.420.4%1st Place
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3.1Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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3.29Tulane University1.750.2%1st Place
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5.48Tulane University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.94Texas A&M University-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.89Tulane University-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.58Tulane University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.54Tulane University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.61University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.82University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.98Texas A&M University-2.850.0%1st Place
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10.52University of North Texas-1.980.0%1st Place
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13.24Texas A&M University-3.670.0%1st Place
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12.91University of North Texas-3.500.0%1st Place
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13.74Texas A&M University-4.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 36.2% | 25.0% | 19.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 20.8% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 18.3% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Farrah | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Malbrel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Miles Raneri | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Schumann | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Starck | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Colton Redding | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 7.7% |
| Timothy Verriere | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Paul Skierski | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 29.2% | 26.7% |
| Erik Ardovino | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 27.0% | 18.2% |
| Clayton Ribardo | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 22.3% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.