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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.75+2.31vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.42+0.29vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.85+0.15vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.08+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas-0.49+2.63vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.51-0.34vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.57-1.57vs Predicted
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8Tulane University-0.14-1.09vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-1.17-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.61-0.17vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-2.85+0.91vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-3.50+1.05vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.98-2.45vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University-4.15-0.24vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University-3.67-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Tulane University1.750.2%1st Place
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2.29Tulane University2.420.4%1st Place
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3.15Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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4.51Tulane University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.63University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.66Tulane University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.43Tulane University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.9Texas A&M University-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.83University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.91Texas A&M University-2.850.0%1st Place
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13.05University of North Texas-3.500.0%1st Place
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10.55University of North Texas-1.980.0%1st Place
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13.76Texas A&M University-4.150.0%1st Place
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13.12Texas A&M University-3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 18.8% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander King | 37.3% | 25.9% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 19.8% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Starck | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Schumann | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Farrah | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Raneri | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Malbrel | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Colton Redding | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 22.8% | 16.1% | 6.5% |
| Erik Ardovino | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 28.2% | 20.6% |
| Timothy Verriere | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Clayton Ribardo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 45.1% |
| Paul Skierski | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 26.3% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.