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📊 Prediction Accuracy

86.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brady Starck 10.7% 11.1% 13.0% 15.9% 17.3% 13.2% 11.2% 4.5% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Hanes 17.1% 22.2% 20.9% 16.6% 11.0% 7.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zander King 35.5% 25.1% 19.9% 11.7% 5.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Solmo 20.5% 18.9% 19.2% 18.7% 12.6% 6.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cam Farrah 4.8% 8.4% 7.7% 10.5% 15.2% 17.2% 17.0% 11.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Schumann 4.6% 5.6% 7.8% 11.4% 15.1% 17.5% 16.9% 11.4% 6.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 6.2% 9.4% 15.1% 18.2% 17.0% 12.6% 6.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Miles Raneri 2.5% 3.6% 5.1% 5.9% 8.9% 13.8% 16.3% 18.0% 15.1% 6.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Verriere 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 6.6% 11.4% 16.9% 22.5% 19.3% 11.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Victor Malbrel 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 3.7% 5.5% 7.1% 14.7% 17.9% 19.7% 15.2% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Colton Redding 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 7.9% 13.9% 22.6% 20.9% 19.0% 5.2%
Jamie Weston 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.9% 4.6% 6.8% 14.8% 20.6% 21.5% 16.6% 5.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Erik Ardovino 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 6.6% 13.2% 22.9% 25.4% 22.1%
Clayton Ribardo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 2.3% 4.1% 7.4% 14.1% 25.1% 44.4%
Paul Skierski 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.5% 3.3% 5.7% 11.0% 21.8% 25.0% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.