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📊 Prediction Accuracy
93.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.75+2.31vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.85+1.10vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.08+1.45vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.42-1.66vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.51+0.65vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.57-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.49+0.61vs Predicted
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8Tulane University-0.14-1.10vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-1.17-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.61-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.98-0.56vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University-2.85+0.04vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-3.50-0.01vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University-4.15-0.26vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University-3.67-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Tulane University1.750.2%1st Place
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3.1Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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4.45Tulane University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.34Tulane University2.420.4%1st Place
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5.65Tulane University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.54Tulane University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.61University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.9Tulane University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.93Texas A&M University-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.86University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.44University of North Texas-1.980.0%1st Place
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12.04Texas A&M University-2.850.0%1st Place
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12.99University of North Texas-3.500.0%1st Place
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13.74Texas A&M University-4.150.0%1st Place
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13.1Texas A&M University-3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 19.4% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 20.6% | 22.3% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Starck | 8.9% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander King | 35.6% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Schumann | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Farrah | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Raneri | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Malbrel | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Verriere | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Colton Redding | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 24.0% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 6.2% |
| Erik Ardovino | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 25.2% | 22.0% |
| Clayton Ribardo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 24.3% | 44.2% |
| Paul Skierski | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 25.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.