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📊 Prediction Accuracy
93.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.42+1.38vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.85+1.05vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.75+0.32vs Predicted
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4Tulane University0.57+1.47vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.51+0.63vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.08-1.49vs Predicted
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7Tulane University-0.14-0.14vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.17+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas-1.61+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-0.49-2.35vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-2.85+0.93vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.98-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-3.50+0.02vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University-4.15-0.23vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University-3.67-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Tulane University2.420.4%1st Place
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3.05Tulane University1.850.2%1st Place
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3.32Tulane University1.750.2%1st Place
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5.47Tulane University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.63Tulane University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.51Tulane University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.86Tulane University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.96Texas A&M University-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.78University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.65University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.93Texas A&M University-2.850.0%1st Place
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10.53University of North Texas-1.980.0%1st Place
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13.02University of North Texas-3.500.0%1st Place
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13.77Texas A&M University-4.150.0%1st Place
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13.13Texas A&M University-3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 36.7% | 24.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Solmo | 21.2% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 17.8% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Farrah | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Schumann | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Starck | 7.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Raneri | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Malbrel | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Snyder | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Redding | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 5.4% |
| Timothy Verriere | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 24.0% | 20.2% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Erik Ardovino | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 25.7% | 22.1% |
| Clayton Ribardo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 25.3% | 44.3% |
| Paul Skierski | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 24.2% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.