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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mia Hanes 20.4% 19.9% 18.6% 16.0% 12.0% 8.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zander King 37.8% 24.3% 19.8% 9.6% 4.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cam Farrah 5.1% 7.4% 9.6% 11.3% 14.8% 16.7% 17.1% 11.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Schumann 4.3% 7.1% 8.4% 11.0% 14.7% 15.6% 15.9% 13.4% 7.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Solmo 18.6% 21.1% 20.5% 16.9% 11.2% 6.5% 3.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brady Starck 6.6% 12.7% 11.9% 17.8% 19.3% 13.7% 11.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 5.0% 5.6% 8.8% 13.1% 19.4% 18.6% 12.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Miles Raneri 2.6% 3.1% 4.4% 7.1% 8.8% 13.3% 14.8% 18.1% 17.0% 7.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Victor Malbrel 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.7% 6.3% 10.6% 11.0% 19.1% 20.9% 15.1% 7.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Jamie Weston 0.7% 0.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 4.6% 7.6% 14.2% 21.4% 20.3% 14.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Colton Redding 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 1.4% 2.4% 4.2% 8.9% 13.7% 21.1% 22.6% 14.6% 8.5%
Paul Skierski 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 2.9% 5.9% 10.9% 20.8% 29.7% 26.1%
Timothy Verriere 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 6.8% 8.6% 15.1% 22.8% 21.2% 11.8% 3.5% 1.1%
Erik Ardovino 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 4.3% 8.6% 13.2% 23.9% 26.7% 18.4%
Clayton Ribardo 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 4.4% 8.0% 13.2% 23.0% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.