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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+1.58vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.84vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.42vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.82-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Fordham University1.9827.3%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2715.4%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9911.9%1st Place
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4.61SUNY Maritime College0.415.9%1st Place
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2.58University of Pennsylvania1.7728.8%1st Place
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3.98Cornell University0.8210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 27.3% | 27.0% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| James Kopack | 15.4% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 10.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 18.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 42.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 28.8% | 25.5% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 22.2% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.