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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+6.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80+7.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.37vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.71vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+1.98vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-2.02vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-3.30vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-2.65vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-5.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.20vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-5.29vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.42vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.98Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.98Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Billing | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% |
| Christina Johns | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.