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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+5.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+8.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.08+3.69vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.62+4.15vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.97+1.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.50vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60+5.87vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.05+2.42vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.73-5.38vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.58-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.02-4.92vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.57-4.69vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.86-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.15-3.76vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08-4.93vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-2.43vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.37-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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8.15Maine Maritime Academy0.620.1%1st Place
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6.86Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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12.87Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.42University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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8.6Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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4.62Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University0.580.1%1st Place
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7.08University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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13.47Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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14.57Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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14.98Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Ella Beauregard | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Cronin | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| David Perez | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 26.6% |
| William Procter | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.