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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+5.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+6.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.73+1.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.35vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.58+3.34vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.08+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.15+4.25vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.97-1.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08+1.96vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.27vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.60+1.91vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.02-4.93vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37+1.98vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.15vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.52-6.43vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.05-5.44vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-3.10vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.62-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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4.54Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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8.34Northeastern University0.580.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.89Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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12.91Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.07University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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14.98Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.57Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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10.56University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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13.9Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.04Maine Maritime Academy0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Downey | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 35.3% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 22.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.