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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+3.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+4.68vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.08+3.75vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02+2.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52+3.58vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.58+2.44vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.97-0.08vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.60+4.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08+1.98vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.05+0.71vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.52-2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.15-0.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-3.15vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.37+0.87vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.62vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.62-7.66vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-3.20vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-11.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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6.69University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University0.580.1%1st Place
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6.92Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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12.76Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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8.79Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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14.87Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.38Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.34Maine Maritime Academy0.620.1%1st Place
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13.8Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Kitay | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% |
| David Perez | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| William Procter | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 32.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 25.2% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.