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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+5.80vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.73+2.58vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+4.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08+6.85vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.08+0.55vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.37+8.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.90vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.58-0.60vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.60+3.03vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.62-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.15-0.44vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.05-2.65vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.52-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.02-8.30vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.55vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-3.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-11.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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4.58Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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7.15Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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10.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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15.08Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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8.4Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.03Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.45Maine Maritime Academy0.620.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.35University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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8.43Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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6.7University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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14.45Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.76Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Alex Kitay | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 34.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Krim | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 25.1% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.