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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.39+6.12vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+4.36vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+4.56vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59+6.12vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.83+0.52vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.47+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.56+3.20vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-5.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+2.78vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.25-6.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.36-4.70vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.29vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-0.18vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.44vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.52-2.59vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-4.06vs Predicted
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18Williams College-2.24-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.36Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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10.12Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.73Maine Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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10.2University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.91Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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3.35Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.49Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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7.3Northeastern University0.360.1%1st Place
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12.71Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.82Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.41Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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15.13Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 24.0% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.3% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.