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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.83+4.76vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.25+2.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+0.45vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.56+5.14vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39+1.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.48vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.36-1.02vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.47-2.36vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.59+0.47vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.86vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.52+0.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-1.39vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06-6.98vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.76-1.90vs Predicted
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17Williams College-2.24-1.70vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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4.53Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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3.45Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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6.14Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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10.14University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.0University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University0.360.1%1st Place
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6.64Maine Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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10.47Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.88Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.19Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.02Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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14.1Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.3Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sanborn | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 12.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 22.6% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| James Sullivan | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 35.8% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.