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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.83+3.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39+2.85vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62+1.15vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.47+0.71vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.56+2.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.67vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.59+0.51vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.06-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.82vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.52+0.16vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-0.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-3.30vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-4.03vs Predicted
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18Williams College-2.24-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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4.48Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.85University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.15Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.71Maine Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University0.360.1%1st Place
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10.09University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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10.51Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.19Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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13.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.16Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
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13.8Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.97Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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15.11Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 23.6% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 14.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.0% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.