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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.38vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80+7.17vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+4.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.14vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81+1.39vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93-1.11vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-3.71vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.21vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.53vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-7.44vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.56vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.73-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.17University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.28Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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13.44University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.6Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Emily Billing | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Christina Johns | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 34.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.