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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.80+2.51vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38-0.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.79vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.59vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Fordham University0.8011.8%1st Place
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1.79Cornell University2.3852.0%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.3%1st Place
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3.21University of Pennsylvania1.1614.3%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9212.0%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Maritime College-0.522.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Keller | 11.8% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 8.7% |
| Bridget Green | 52.0% | 26.4% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 27.3% | 17.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.3% | 22.0% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 6.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.0% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 9.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.