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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+2.59vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.56vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.83+1.51vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.47+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.56+2.97vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.59+1.99vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.36-2.02vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.84vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.52+2.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.85vs Predicted
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13Williams College-2.24+1.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.93vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.76-1.35vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-8.64vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-3.73vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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3.56Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.59Maine Maritime Academy0.470.1%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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9.97University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.99Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University0.360.1%1st Place
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8.16Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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13.0Bates College-1.520.0%1st Place
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12.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.64Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
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12.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.65Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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16.53Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 20.6% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 20.8% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colby Green | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Denker | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 24.1% | 16.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 7.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 17.3% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.