← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.75+2.55vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University0.20+2.55vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University-0.15+2.29vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-1.79+4.74vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University1.18-2.24vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-0.87+0.84vs Predicted
-
7Northern Michigan University-0.34-1.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin0.51-4.13vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-0.76-2.50vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-2.25-0.54vs Predicted
-
11Western Michigan University-2.57-0.91vs Predicted
-
12Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.55University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
-
4.55Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
-
5.29Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
8.74University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
-
2.76Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
-
6.84Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
5.59Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.87University of Wisconsin0.510.2%1st Place
-
6.5Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.46Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
-
10.09Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
-
10.76Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 18.1% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schock | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 6.8% |
| Liam Walz | 28.9% | 25.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| George Lockwood | 17.6% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 22.9% | 15.9% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 28.2% | 27.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 23.9% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.