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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.53vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.73vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.51-0.08vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.15+0.32vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.76+0.63vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.34-1.44vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.57+1.95vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.87-2.23vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.25-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-1.79-2.19vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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2.73Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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4.54Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Wisconsin0.510.1%1st Place
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5.32Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.63Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.56Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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9.95Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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6.77Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.44Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
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10.77Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 19.3% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 29.1% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 13.6% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Henry Westlind | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Abigale Airo | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 28.4% | 25.7% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 22.9% | 23.9% | 15.4% |
| Alex Schock | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 7.7% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.