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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.20+3.62vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.75+0.47vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.15+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.51-1.06vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.25+3.57vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.76-0.49vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.87-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-1.79-0.39vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-0.34-4.37vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.57-0.93vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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2.75Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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3.47University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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5.28Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Wisconsin0.510.1%1st Place
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9.57Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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6.51Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.78Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.63Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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10.07Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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10.77Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 28.6% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 19.9% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 14.4% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 24.1% | 25.7% | 16.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Schock | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 21.5% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 4.8% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Abigale Airo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 30.3% | 25.8% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.