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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.52vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.51+0.95vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.58vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.34+0.69vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.15-0.69vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.76-0.45vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.87-1.24vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.25+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-1.79-1.42vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.57-0.93vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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2.72Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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3.95University of Wisconsin0.510.2%1st Place
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4.58Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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5.69Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.31Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.55Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.76Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.48Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
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10.07Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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10.79Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 19.4% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 29.1% | 24.7% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 15.5% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Maude | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 14.9% |
| Alex Schock | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 21.5% | 16.0% | 6.2% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 27.1% | 28.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 24.9% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.