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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.52vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.75vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.51-0.08vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.15+0.29vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16+1.55vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.34-1.41vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.53+0.22vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.57+1.09vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.10+0.85vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-0.76-4.21vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-1.79-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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2.75Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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4.55Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Wisconsin0.510.1%1st Place
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5.29Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.55Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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5.59Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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8.22Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.09Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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10.85Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.79Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 19.0% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 28.7% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 11.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 14.2% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Henry Westlind | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 5.6% |
| Abigale Airo | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 32.1% | 26.5% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 55.1% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Alex Schock | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.