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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.49vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.41vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98-0.41vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.82-0.01vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Pennsylvania1.7730.7%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2715.0%1st Place
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2.59Fordham University1.9826.2%1st Place
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3.99Cornell University0.8210.8%1st Place
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4.64SUNY Maritime College0.416.7%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 30.7% | 25.2% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| James Kopack | 15.0% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 9.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 26.2% | 27.6% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 23.9% | 22.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 43.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.