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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.75+2.51vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.51+0.92vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.56vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.15+0.32vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.34-0.26vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.10+3.77vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.57+2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-1.79-0.25vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.76-3.38vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.53-2.54vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.16-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
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2.69Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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3.92University of Wisconsin0.510.2%1st Place
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4.56Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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5.32Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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5.74Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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10.77Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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10.07Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.62Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.46Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.59Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 19.5% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 28.6% | 26.3% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 16.0% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 54.0% |
| Abigale Airo | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 30.1% |
| Alex Schock | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 7.2% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 5.7% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.