← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University0.20+3.58vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.74vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.75+0.47vs Predicted
-
4Ohio University-0.15+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-1.53+3.30vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University-0.34-0.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.51-3.14vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-1.16-0.58vs Predicted
-
9Saginaw Valley State University-3.10+1.84vs Predicted
-
10Western Michigan University-2.57+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Ohio State University-0.76-4.18vs Predicted
-
12University of Toledo-1.79-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.58Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
-
2.74Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
-
3.47University of Michigan0.750.2%1st Place
-
5.31Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
8.3Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.74Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.86University of Wisconsin0.510.2%1st Place
-
7.42Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
-
10.84Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
-
10.1Western Michigan University-2.570.0%1st Place
-
6.82Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.83University of Toledo-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 28.5% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 19.6% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| George Lockwood | 17.5% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 52.9% |
| Abigale Airo | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 16.0% | 30.7% | 28.5% |
| Chase Ireland | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Schock | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.