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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.08vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.61+3.25vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.79+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.06-1.65vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.36-0.28vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.74-0.60vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.50-2.05vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.53+0.63vs Predicted
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10Hope College-3.66-0.17vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.44-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.44-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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6.25Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.66Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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5.72Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.4Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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5.95Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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9.63Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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9.83Hope College-3.660.0%1st Place
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9.61Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 14.6% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 43.5% | 26.3% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Flanagan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Siri Schantz | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 17.4% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack LeFevre | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 18.2% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 13.9% |
| Audrey Kaczmarek | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 28.0% | 18.0% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 21.0% | 16.3% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.