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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+1.09vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.20+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.06+0.33vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.36+1.76vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.50+1.02vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.74+0.48vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.61-0.81vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.79-3.41vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-3.53+0.63vs Predicted
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10Hope College-3.66-0.17vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.44-1.38vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.44-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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3.6Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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5.76Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.02Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.48Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.19Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.59Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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9.63Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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9.83Hope College-3.660.0%1st Place
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9.62Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 41.6% | 29.9% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 13.5% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 18.6% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brynna Smith | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack LeFevre | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Erin Flanagan | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Siri Schantz | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 18.0% | 25.5% | 22.9% | 13.9% |
| Audrey Kaczmarek | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 28.0% | 18.1% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 25.2% | 21.2% | 16.2% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 22.5% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.