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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+1.30vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.20+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.00+0.60vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.24vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53+1.77vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.79-0.78vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-3.53+3.00vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.50-1.37vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.61-2.15vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.74-2.89vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.44-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.44-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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4.0Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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4.24Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.77Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.22Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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10.0Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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6.63Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.85Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.11Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.08Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 37.9% | 27.9% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 11.7% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 18.0% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 10.0% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bergman | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Siri Schantz | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 26.1% | 32.8% | 17.8% |
| Brynna Smith | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Erin Flanagan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack LeFevre | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 25.4% | 33.0% | 19.8% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.