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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.00+2.64vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.33+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86-0.72vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.53+2.69vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.20-0.97vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.79-0.80vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.61-0.24vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.74-0.96vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.44+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-4.44+1.17vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.50-4.20vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-3.53-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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4.23Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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2.28University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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6.69Hope College-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.03Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.2Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.76Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.04Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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10.02Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
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6.8Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.15Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 15.3% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 39.5% | 25.3% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bergman | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Flanagan | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack LeFevre | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 26.9% | 32.9% | 16.7% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 9.6% | 19.8% | 61.7% |
| Brynna Smith | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 24.4% | 34.4% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.