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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+2.72vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.36+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86-0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.79-0.19vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.50+0.28vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.74-0.27vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.11-0.54vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.61-2.58vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.44-0.15vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-3.53-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.44-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Marquette University-0.200.2%1st Place
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6.02Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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2.1University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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3.44University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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4.81Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.28Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.73Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.46Hope College-2.110.0%1st Place
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6.42Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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9.85Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.05Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 15.2% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 43.5% | 25.8% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 15.4% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack LeFevre | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Charles Soucey | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Erin Flanagan | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 10.5% | 24.3% | 32.1% | 16.2% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 22.7% | 31.8% | 21.7% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 21.9% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.