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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.06+0.41vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.61+2.55vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.79-0.21vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.36-0.01vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.50-0.77vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.74-1.29vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.11-1.55vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.44-0.18vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-3.53-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.44-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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2.12University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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3.41University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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6.55Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.79Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.99Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.23Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.71Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.45Hope College-2.110.0%1st Place
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9.82Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.09Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 15.0% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 41.8% | 29.2% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 16.6% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Flanagan | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Siri Schantz | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brynna Smith | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack LeFevre | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Soucey | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 24.1% | 31.8% | 16.0% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 22.0% | 32.7% | 21.9% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 8.2% | 21.7% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.