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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.12vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.79+1.80vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.74+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.06-1.58vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.36-0.02vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.50-0.79vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.61-1.55vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.11-1.55vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.44-0.18vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-3.53-0.93vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-4.44-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Marquette University-0.200.2%1st Place
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2.12University of Wisconsin0.860.4%1st Place
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4.8Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.82Western Michigan University-1.740.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Michigan-0.060.2%1st Place
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5.98Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.21Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.45Ohio State University-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.45Hope College-2.110.0%1st Place
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9.82Saginaw Valley State University-3.440.0%1st Place
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10.07Northern Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Toledo-4.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 15.4% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 42.1% | 27.7% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 8.3% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack LeFevre | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Beyer | 17.2% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 3.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Erin Flanagan | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Soucey | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 24.4% | 31.8% | 16.1% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 21.5% | 32.5% | 21.9% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 21.7% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.