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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+4.53vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.98vs Predicted
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31.07+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.68vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+0.92vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-3.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08-1.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.98Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.251.070.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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5.92Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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2.84Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 23.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Emily Lau | 21.4% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 30.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.0% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.6% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.