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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+1.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.80-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.78vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Cornell University2.3851.4%1st Place
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3.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9213.3%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.0%1st Place
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3.56Fordham University0.8010.5%1st Place
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3.22University of Pennsylvania1.1613.7%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Maritime College-0.523.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 51.4% | 29.2% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 13.3% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 7.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 26.9% | 18.1% |
| Rebecca Keller | 10.5% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 20.8% | 9.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 13.7% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 5.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.