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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.07+2.20vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.93vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.19+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.22vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-0.15vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-4.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21.070.2%1st Place
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3.93Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.57Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.85Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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2.96Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.01University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 21.7% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 24.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 10.6% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 33.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.5% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.