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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.07+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.63vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+2.84vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19+1.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08-0.93vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-2.96vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.241.070.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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5.84Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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5.57Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.04Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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2.79Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 20.5% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 8.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 30.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 24.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.8% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.3% | 24.0% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.