← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
11.07+2.20vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.69vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.19+2.56vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-0.37+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University0.69-1.04vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.26vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.31-4.02vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.08-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21.070.2%1st Place
-
4.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
-
5.56Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
-
5.9Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
-
3.96Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
-
4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
-
2.98Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
-
4.98University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 22.8% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 24.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 32.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.6% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.