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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.88vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+3.62vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+2.87vs Predicted
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41.07-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.26vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-4.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.87Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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3.311.070.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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2.96Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.97University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 25.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 32.6% |
| Emily Lau | 20.7% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 9.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.0% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.