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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.69vs Predicted
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21.07+1.30vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.96vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.37+1.91vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.19+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08-1.87vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.31.070.2%1st Place
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3.96Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.91Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.6Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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2.79Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.3% |
| Emily Lau | 20.0% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.8% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 30.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.8% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.