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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.07+2.22vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.65vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-1.11vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69-1.05vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.19-0.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.221.070.2%1st Place
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5.94Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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2.89Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.95Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.57Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 22.8% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 32.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 9.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.4% | 24.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.0% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Frary | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 23.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.