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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+3.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.07+1.31vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.19+2.56vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69-0.01vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+0.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08-1.87vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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3.31Yale University1.070.2%1st Place
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5.56Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.99Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.89Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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2.81Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Burns | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Emily Lau | 19.6% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 24.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 30.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 10.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.3% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.