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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.89vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+3.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.74vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.37+1.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.07-1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08-1.88vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.94Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.27Yale University1.070.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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2.8Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 9.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 32.2% |
| Emily Lau | 18.8% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 17.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.2% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.