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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.07+1.98vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.08+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.21vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+0.25vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-3.34vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Yale University1.070.2%1st Place
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3.49Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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5.25Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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2.66Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.85Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 24.0% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.7% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 12.5% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 35.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.2% | 24.2% | 19.9% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.