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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.50vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+2.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.07-0.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08-1.43vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.37-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.98Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.98Yale University1.070.2%1st Place
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2.64Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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5.11Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 27.0% |
| Emily Lau | 23.0% | 21.2% | 21.3% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 30.3% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 8.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 12.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 17.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.