← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.40vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.98+0.64vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.44vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University0.82-0.04vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.17vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2716.4%1st Place
-
2.64Fordham University1.9826.1%1st Place
-
2.56University of Pennsylvania1.7728.4%1st Place
-
3.96Cornell University0.8211.7%1st Place
-
3.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.5%1st Place
-
4.6SUNY Maritime College0.416.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 16.4% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 10.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 26.1% | 27.1% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 28.4% | 25.2% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.7% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 22.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 18.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.