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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.12vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.19+1.97vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.37+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.08-0.39vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-3.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.07-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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4.97Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.25Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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2.64Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.88Yale University1.070.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 17.3% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 11.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 26.6% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 22.3% | 34.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 18.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.6% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lau | 25.3% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.