← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University0.43+1.52vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.46+1.49vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Military Academy-2.27+3.03vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.17+0.56vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.51vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-0.61-2.33vs Predicted
-
7Unknown School-1.68-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52Columbia University0.4329.9%1st Place
-
3.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.4614.1%1st Place
-
6.03U. S. Military Academy-2.272.1%1st Place
-
4.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.177.2%1st Place
-
2.49SUNY Maritime College-0.0229.2%1st Place
-
3.67Unknown School-0.6113.6%1st Place
-
5.25Unknown School-1.683.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 29.9% | 26.0% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 19.9% | 56.1% |
| Alden Hughes | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 24.5% | 23.2% | 10.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 29.2% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Renata Altuzar | 13.6% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 3.1% |
| Bud Aichele | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 29.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.