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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.69+0.59vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.69-0.41vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.39-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.60-2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.89-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Marquette University0.690.5%1st Place
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1.59Marquette University0.690.5%1st Place
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2.93Western Michigan University-1.390.1%1st Place
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1.69University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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3.78University of Michigan-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Farrell | 49.7% | 41.9% | 8.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Farrell | 49.7% | 41.9% | 8.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliott Sikkenga | 6.6% | 10.3% | 66.2% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Golden | 43.3% | 45.0% | 11.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Grobbel | 0.4% | 2.8% | 14.8% | 82.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.