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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+6.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40+7.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+4.22vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.60+1.54vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.55+0.73vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.91+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.21+3.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95-0.28vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-5.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.52-4.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.34-1.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-3.86vs Predicted
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13Brown University-0.07-1.95vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.54-1.67vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.41-5.45vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-1.91-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.077.5%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.403.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University1.086.7%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University1.6010.5%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University1.5510.7%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University0.915.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island0.212.2%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University0.955.1%1st Place
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3.65Brown University2.2823.3%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University1.5210.5%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island0.342.9%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.9%1st Place
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11.05Brown University-0.072.5%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island-0.541.2%1st Place
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9.55Brown University0.413.3%1st Place
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14.96University of Rhode Island-1.910.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Vinogradov | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Judge | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Roman | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Moore | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Lentz | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| reece schwartz | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Noah Stapleton | 23.3% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| William Baker | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 5.5% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 26.5% | 13.9% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Leo Giard | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 13.0% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.