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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+5.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+7.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+4.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+4.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.75+4.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.12+5.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.14-2.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+3.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.87-0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.30-2.68vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.82-2.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-2.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.08-5.89vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.41-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.53-5.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Tufts University1.438.8%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.6%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University1.517.5%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.075.5%1st Place
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9.38Brown University0.755.5%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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4.43Brown University2.1418.4%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.8%1st Place
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8.99Brown University0.874.9%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island1.307.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University1.188.5%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island0.824.7%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.6%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.085.9%1st Place
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10.89Brown University0.413.4%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island0.533.6%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Clark Morris | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 19.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
| Savannah Young | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Ella Demand | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Meara Conley | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.