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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.28vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.20vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+5.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+4.79vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+3.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.93+0.92vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73+0.40vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-3.49vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-1.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-4.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.76vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-5.65vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.58vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.08Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.26University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.4Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Emily Billing | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Christina Johns | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 34.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.