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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.95vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+1.93vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.09vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.36vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.27vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.91+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.78vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.33vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.21-0.38vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.28-1.49vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-3.47vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-4.47vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.35-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.07-1.19vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.92-4.37vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.05-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.93Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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3.09Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.64Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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6.27Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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6.62Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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9.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.62William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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8.51Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.53Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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7.53Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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10.46Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.63Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 15.3% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.5% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.1% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 16.7% | 60.9% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 22.5% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.